美国数据靓丽无限 金银下挫继续寻底
昨日受到美国良好数据的支撑，欧美主要股市都出现了不同幅度的上涨，而金银市场则略显平静，整体上依然维持低位震荡的格局，正所谓时间换空间，久盘必跌，长时间的低位盘整已不利于目前金银的反弹，投资者应谨慎金银继续下跌寻底。
基本面上，美国5月耐用品订单月率增长3.6%，除运输外耐用品订单月率增长0.7%，均高于市场预期，众所周知耐用品的消费一般只有在经济向好的时候才会出现增长，而目前的增长也恰恰表明了美国经济正在稳健复苏的事实，另外美国房地产市场也正呈现继续强劲复苏之势，4月SP/CS20座大城市房价指数月率上升2.5%，创历史最大月度增幅，指数年率上升12.1%，创2006年以来新高，显示出需求的良好表现，再者房产价值上涨将带来财富效应，将刺激消费者增加消费支出，带动经济加速增长，同时美国6月谘商会消费者信心指数从76.2上升至81.4，远高于预期75.1，这一切印证了上周伯南克的讲话，所以美元的强势有望得到延续，而金银则预计将颓势依旧，继续寻底。昨日笔者已讲周三有望是时间节点，晚间的重头戏是美国第一季度GDP年率终值的出台，如果能够好于预期与前值的话，那么金银的继续下跌有望继续，投资者应该做好准备。
技术上上，从现货黄金60分钟图中可以看出，目前黄金已经跌破了平台整理，下跌趋势将会延续，投资者在日内操作中以高空为主，主要支撑在1236.9美元/盎司，1200美元/盎司附近，主要阻力1269.7美元/盎司，1280美元/盎司附近。
白银总体走势与黄金相仿，但由于自身属性白银的走势要比黄金激烈。从现货白银60分钟图中可以看出，白银也已经出现下破平台的走势，下行趋势将会延续，操作上仍以高空为主，白银的主要支撑为18.6美元/盎司，18美元/盎司附近， 主要阻力在19.37美元/盎司，19.76美元/盎司附近。
黄金ETF6月25日减持16.23吨，截止6月25日其净持仓量为969.5吨，白银ETF6月25日无增减仓变化，截止6月25日其净持仓量为9881.87吨。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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