FOMC平复混乱预期为主 金银陷入等待
金价周一在交投淡静中下跌大约0.5%，因美国股市上涨降低对黄金的避险买需，且投资人静待本周美国联邦储备委员会(FED)会议为货币刺激计划提供暗示。优于预期的美国零售销售和就业数据近期燃点了对美联储周三结束两天会议后可能公布缩减每月850亿美元购债进度的臆测。
本周举行货币政策例会上，美联储(FED)多半会采取行动，平复市场对于量化宽松政策(QE)即将退出的恐慌。因此最大的可能性是美联储本月立场略微转向鹰派：FOMC可能恢复3月会议立场，称委员会将采取合适行动，衡量举措的功效和成本，以及经济目标进展的有效性。这些内容较5月份稍显鹰派，对美元汇率可能影响甚微，出现这种情况的可能性较高，这意味着年内晚些时候购债规模会降低。
美国6月房屋市场指数以及6月纽约联储制造业指数均好于预期，令市场对美联储提早退出QE的臆测升温，同时美元闻讯上扬，双重因素令金价承压。另外，印度为控制经常帐赤字抑制黄金进口，加上亚洲买盘并没有预料地强劲，金价可能失去有效支撑。本周即将召开美联储会议，因此会议前市场情绪相对谨慎，金价波动较为明显，黄金、白银收跌。黄金下跌8.25美元，跌幅0.60%，报1383.10美元/盎司。尽管上周白银收高在22.08，但银价正在缓慢走低，并且看跌趋势依然未改。当前处在2011年4月以来高点61.72。价格仍然接近近期超卖支撑水平22。因此，在短的时期内，银价可能继续缓慢走低，支撑位料在年内低点20.40。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.