美元随美债收益率上涨，日元跌至五年低点
周二(1月4日)美元指数涨0.06%至96.27，美债收益率曲线趋陡，对升息预期敏感的五年期美债收益率升至2020年2月以来最高水平，两年期美债收益率在周一触及22个月高位后小幅下滑，该收益率也反映出市场对利率的看法。
美联储渐进加息促美元温和下跌
高盛认为，只要美联储加息维持循序渐进，美元年内将温和下滑。高盛策略师Zach Pandl在研报中写道，美元今年更有可能下跌而不是上涨，这是一种脱离共识的观点。2022年初美元面临的风险倾向于上行。加元今年将在G-10货币中表现最好，澳元将是表现最差的货币。除非欧洲央行转向加息，否则其政策正常化将无法支持欧元。
欧元兑美元可能会在未来数周小幅走高，并重测1.1415水平
尽管上周五欧元兑美元上涨0.40%，但上涨动能未出现太大改善。也就是说，虽然在上涨动能回落之前，欧元仍存上涨至1.1390的空间，但不太可能触及强阻力1.1415。过去数周欧欧元总体维持横盘交易，上周五涨至1个月高点1.1386。上涨势头如果开始加大，欧美有望上行接近1.1415水平。但目前欧美突破1.1415的可能性并不大。下行方面，若跌破1.1310，则表明目前的上涨压力已经得到缓解。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.