避险情绪变淡,美元走低黄金冲高回落,油价大涨4%
周二(12月21日)美元小幅走低,商品货币兑美元涨幅居前,市场信心得到改善,市场乐观预期疫苗可以帮助遏制omicron毒株的传播,另外有迹象显示美国总统拜登可能重振其2万亿美元经济议程。现货黄金冲高回落,尾盘收于1790关口下方,市场对风险资产的需求升温,令避险黄金失去了吸引力。受风险偏好恢复的影响,原油期货大幅反弹,美油涨近4%,收复了最近几个交易日的部分失地,但投资者仍保持谨慎,因为疫情削减了假日旅行计划,使近期燃料需求前景变得更加悲观。
商品收盘方面,COMEX 2月黄金期货收跌0.3%,报1788.70美元/盎司。WTI 2月原油期货收涨2.51美元,涨幅3.66%,报71.12美元/桶;布伦特2月原油期货收涨2.46美元,涨幅3.44%,报73.98美元/桶。
美股收盘情况:标普500指数上涨1.8%,报4649.23点;道琼斯工业平均指数上涨1.6%,报35492.7点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨2.4%,报15341.09点;纳斯达克100指数上涨2.3%,报15986.28点;罗素2000指数上涨2.9%,报2202.947点。
美股在创下9月以来最大三日跌幅后反弹,因市场对风险资产的需求升温,纳斯达克100指数涨逾2%。美国总统拜登表示仍可能与民主党参议员曼钦达成协议,使大约2万亿美元的经济计划获得国会通过。
首席市场策略师表示,omicron对经济活动的潜在损害将相当短而浅,鉴于家庭和企业的资产负债表状况良好,市场人气依然强劲,我们认为经济将能够度过波折。
周二早些时候,瑞信全球投资委员会将其股票配置从超配下调至中性,理由是来自omicron变种的风险加大。
贵金属与原油
现货黄金周二冲高回落,尾盘收于1790关口下方,因美元收复部分失地,投资者对风险资产的兴趣恢复,不再考虑Omicron冠状病毒变体带来的经济风险。
今天是风险情绪驱动的交易,美国股市在昨日下跌后反弹,美元也跟随美债收益率反弹,这都给金价带来了些许压力;但Streible补充说,由于担心新冠疫情带来的经济冲击等不确定性,人们利用一切下跌的机会逢低买入,1800美元水平仍然是黄金的关键支撑位。
石油价格随股市上涨,交易员在两天大跌后恢复买入风险资产;纽约原油期货收涨3.7%,报每桶71美元左右;油价波动率飙升,因市场试图评估新毒株影响的严重性,而年末的交投清淡放大了价格走势。英国首相约翰逊称他不打算在圣诞节前实施新的防疫限制。
市场人士年底结算,等待来年重新开始;原油价格上涨的同时,欧洲的天然气和电力价格飙升,法国甚至动用燃油发电;今年早些时候,石油市场因预期电力消费将大幅转向原油和石油产品而获得提振。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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