美元在通胀担忧中走高，美联储决议公布在即
周二(12月14日)美元指数涨0.20%至96.54，之前在伦敦时段一度下跌0.2%；市场权衡主要央行在应对通胀还是疫情对经济的拖累之间选择的不同路径。美元的反弹很大程度上受助于美元兑欧元走强，因为市场消化了另一份报告，报告显示美国通胀超出预期，可能会推动美国比欧洲更早并更大幅度地升息。随着美国和欧洲股指下跌，以及油价因预期Omicron疫情将削弱全球需求而走低，美元的避险吸引力也有所提升。
疫情对美元升值影响不大
除了美联储外，欧洲央行、英国央行和日本央行也将在本周举行政策会议。全球主要央行都在等待奥密克戎变种毒株严重性和传染性的消息。
奥密克戎变种毒株已经使明年更顺利的希望变得复杂，该变种的影响可能还会延长供应链问题并加剧劳动力短缺，从而使通胀压力保持在较高水平，并加剧金融市场波动。
英国报告了全球首例公开确认的奥密克戎死亡病例。英国科学家宣布了一项研究结果，即接种两剂当前的新冠疫苗不能诱导足够的对抗奥密克戎的中和抗体。英国央行政策制定者将于周四开会，鉴于奥密克戎造成的经济不确定性，市场预计英国央行不会采取行动。
欧洲央行正在寻找维持宽松的方法，因其紧急抗疫购债计划(PEPP)将于3月结束。但预计欧洲央行在2022年、尤其是第一季度、将继续支持BTP和欧元区政府债券购买。
美联储本周给市场提供‘鹰派惊喜’的门槛非常高，但即便美联储最终表态仅仅符合市场预期，他们在收紧政策步伐上仍将领先于欧洲。美元指数涨势最近有所放缓，但回调至95关口附近是多头重新进场的机会。
现货黄金料很快重启新的跌势
小时图上看，金价自1701美元开启的调整(B)浪得到延伸，但反弹乏力，目前仍承压于(A)浪23.6%斐波那契回档位1789美元下方。若无法站稳1789美元上方，金价将很快重启跌势；反之短线有望进一步上摸(A)浪23.6%斐波那契回档位1806美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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