美元美债收益率走高,商品货币上涨
周一(12月6日)美元指数涨0.16%,至96.27,Omicron初步观察公布后,美债收益率攀升,股市上涨,收复了周五的抛售所导致的部分失地。此前有报导称,南非对Omicron变种病毒感染者的初步观察显示,患者只有轻微症状。澳元和挪威克朗五天来首次上涨,领涨G-10货币。
荷兰国际:除非欧洲央行改变宽松立场,否则欧元可能保持疲弱
除非欧洲央行的政策有所收紧,否则欧元可能在今年剩余时间内保持在较弱的水平。欧洲央行的贸易加权欧元汇率今年已经跌超5%,欧洲央行的鸽派立场,加上欧洲对全球制造业周期的更大敞口,以及对人们疫苗接种的犹豫不决,都导致了欧元的糟糕表现。欧元在年底前可能得到的唯一提振是欧洲央行变得“不那么温和”。在欧洲央行和美联储分别做出政策决定之前,欧元兑美元可能交投于1.1180-1.1280区间。
英国金融时报:英国央行本月不太可能加息
英国《金融时报》对金融市场的经济学家和交易员进行的调查显示,英国央行不太可能在本月上进行加息,因为对奥密克戎新毒株存在的不确定性越来越大。预计英国央行货币政策委员会的多数成员将在12月16日的会议上决定,他们需要更多时间来评估奥密克戎的影响,并将投票决定维持利率在0.1%的历史低位不变。经济学家不确定英国央行可能对奥密克戎毒株的新信息做出何种反应。多数经济学家预计,奥密克戎对GDP的负面影响不会太大。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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