美联储距减码尚远的预期升温，美元下跌欧元创近四周新高
周三(9月1日)美元在长线大型投资者、宏观和模型基金的卖盘中下跌，美元指数尾盘下跌0.16%至92.50，盘中触及92.37，为8月6日以来最低水平。此前ADP全美就业报告显示，上月民间就业岗位增加37.4万个，远低于市场预期，周度初请失业金人数报告将于周四出炉，周五政府将公布8月非农就业报告，这可能为美联储的政策路径提供线索。
三菱日联：英镑疲软状况不太可能持续
预计英镑兑美元GBP/USD第三季度末在1.3720，第四季度在1.4040；欧元兑英镑年底在0.8550，明年第一季度在0.8400。英镑是8月表现第二差的G10货币，因为市场担心新冠疫情供应限制问题和英国脱欧相关问题对未来经济反弹的削弱程度。我行认为，更大程度的供应限制意味着更高通胀率，迫使英国央行更加积极地逆转政策，因而中期利好英镑。
澳新银行：将纽元兑美元年终预测下调至0.72
澳新银行已经将纽元兑美元的年终预测从0.75下调至0.72，几乎可以肯定的是，德尔塔病毒感染病例的下降帮助提振了纽元的情绪，虽然还没有摆脱困境，但市场预计很快就会摆脱困境，加大了新西兰联储上调官方现金利率的可能性，并降低了经济下行风险，上日将澳元和纽元的预期下调了几美分，仍然预计纽元将从现在开始进一步走强，但现在预计年底前将稳定在0.72，之前曾预期达到0.75。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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