美联储成员预计加息，美元走高黄金回吐涨幅
周三(6月23日)美元指数小幅上涨，交易员评估通货再膨胀交易的前景，推动美债收益率在美国午后交易中攀升至日内高位；由于石油和金属扩大涨幅，大宗商品相关货币在G-10货币中领涨。黄金冲高回落，抹去了盘中涨幅，因为美联储官员再度发表偏鹰观点，美元收复日内跌幅转涨。油价上涨，布伦特原油盘中突破每桶76美元，达到2018年底以来的最高水平，此前数据显示，随着旅行活动回升，美国原油库存下降。
EIA报告：美国上周商业原油库存减少
截至6月18日当周EIA汽油库存减少293万桶，精炼油库存增加175.4万桶，上周美国国内原油产量减少10万桶至1110万桶/日。除却战略储备的商业原油上周进口694.3万桶/日，较前一周增加19.7万桶/日；美国上周原油出口减少23.3万桶/日至365.1万桶/日。
两位美联储官员预计加息
达拉斯联储主席卡普兰预计美联储将在2022年首次加息。美国经济可能比人们预期的更早达到美联储缩减资产购买规模的门槛；预计美国2021年通胀为3.4%，2022年可能会回落至2.4%。预计2022年通胀温和，但范围会变得更加广泛。
亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克也预计美联储将在2023年加息两次，预计2022年就会开始加息。FOMC料将在未来3-4个月就减码QE做决定。美国经济显然处于复苏轨道之上，接近“取得实质性进展”这一标准。上调美国2021年通胀预期至3.4%。
美联储周三逆回购工具使用规模为8136亿美元，创历史新高；此前，已经连续四个交易日超过7000亿美元。美国财政部长耶伦称，财政部可能最早在8月就用尽避免违反美国债务上限的紧急措施，除非国会采取行动避免潜在的“灾难性的”违约。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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