美元兑瑞郎接近低点，三大因素限制空头
周三，多种因素促使美元兑瑞郎附近出现一些新的卖盘，在低于预期的非农报告出炉后，美元走低，美元兑瑞郎触及一周新低。目前，该货币对的空头正在寻求新的动能进一步扩大连续四个交易日的跌幅。普遍的谨慎情绪为避险的瑞郎提供了一些支撑，成为美元兑瑞郎走低的关键因素。
经济复苏前景乐观，瑞郎本月表现领先
瑞郎仍然受到失业率数据优势支撑，根据瑞士统计局的数据，失业率从4月份的3.2%下降到5月份的3.0%。这一比率远远高于其他国家。例如，英国的失业率为4.8%，而德国的失业率超过了8%。美国的失业率为5.8%。劳动力市场继续紧缩，经济状况有所改善，国家继续开放令瑞郎前景乐观。不过，该国通货膨胀率仍然大大低于瑞士国家银行(SNB) 2%的目标，这意味着央行将继续坚持其超宽松的货币政策。
本月至今，瑞郎兑美元涨幅达0.4%，表现领先于其他货币。市场普遍的谨慎情绪为避险的瑞郎提供了一些支撑，成为瑞郎上涨的关键因素。
三大因素限制美元兑瑞郎跌幅，市场关注周四关键数据
周二发布的数据使美国国债收益率降至一个多月来的最低水平，这表明小型企业信心今年首次下降。与此同时，美国参议院以68票对32票通过了2500亿美元一揽子立法。由于担心市场情绪可能恶化，空头表现得比较谨慎。
美元受到美国国债收益率持续下跌的压力。尽管如此，对通胀压力上升可能迫使美联储尽早缩减资产购买的担忧，对美元起到了推动作用。这反过来应该有助于限制美元兑瑞郎的进一步损失。
目前，市场的焦点仍将集中在周四发布的美国最新消费者通胀数据上。这以数据将为6月15-16日的联邦公开市场委员会会议定下基调。虽然美元兑瑞郎已经连续四个交易日走低，但面对关键数据风险，投资者似乎仍未大举押注，美元兑瑞郎的跌幅因此受到了一定的限制。周三，美元兑瑞郎进一步扩大跌幅，刺穿一周低点，创下十个交易日新低，目前徘徊于近四个月低点上方。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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