金价虽保持稳定，但美元避险吸引力更大
关键词：金价虽保持稳定
4月20日，国际金价在创下之前得低位后保持稳定，但其反弹的趋势收到美元走强的牵制，加上市场对全球经济增长的担忧也强化了美元的避险能力，美国相关官员对重启经济计划持谨慎态度，而欧元区和英国的数据可能进一步低迷。
美国受疫情打击最严重的各州州长并不认同总统特朗普的说法，与此同时有更多针对延长居家令的抗议活动正在酝酿之中。特朗普此前说，他们已经进行了足够的测试，应该尽快重启他们的经济。
美国政府上周日(4月19日)表示，将允许受到新冠疫情冲击的进口商延迟三个月支付所欠政府的任何关税款项。此举旨在帮助受疫情打击的企业。疫情已导致数百万美国人失业，人们普遍预期疫情会将美国经济拖入深度衰退。
经济繁荣是特朗普11月能够再次当选总统的最有力政绩，但美国多位地方官员的表现暗示，眼下的形势还远没有到可以缩短社交距离的时候。民众对获取现金的渴望使得黄金的传统避险功能无法正常发挥。
本周稍后公布的PMI数据将会明显反映出强制封锁造成的经济影响，欧元区综合PMI上月从2月的51.6降至纪录低位29.7，为这项调查1998年7月开始以来的最大月度降幅。而整个欧洲是在3月开始普遍实施社交疏离措施，为遏制新冠疫情。
英国零售业联盟(BRC)周一表示，自政府上个月关闭非必要零售商店以抑制疫情以来，英国民众外出购物人数锐减83%。英国预算机构上周预测，如果接下来三个月英国仍采取封锁措施，那么2020年第二季经济可能出现前所未有的35%的萎缩。
英国虽没有欧元区可能重新陷入债务危机的担忧，但毕竟脱欧谈判仍然处于僵局中，居民消费又在整个国民经济中占据着绝对重要地位。消费低迷将给英国经济带来沉重打击，英镑看跌预期重燃也会给美元带来新的提振。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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