黄金回调有限，贸易前景不乐观
关键词：黄金回调有限
1月9日，现货黄金持续走低，原因在于美国和伊朗的冲突的缓和，但是美国总统特朗普表示，会对伊朗施加额外的惩罚性经济制裁。而全球贸易局势以及投资复苏前景仍比预期慢，支撑了金价的高位。
美国总统特朗普周三收敛起近几天愤怒的言论，对伊朗袭击伊拉克美军基地未做出军事回应，而对之以加大经济制裁力度。
特朗普表示，伊朗对驻伊拉克美军的军事基地发动袭击，美国不一定要做出军事回应。在夜间的袭击中没有美国人受伤。
伊朗外长扎里夫表示，袭击行动是德黑兰对圣城旅指挥官苏莱马尼遇害的回应，已“到此为止”。他在推特上写道：“我们不想让冲突升级或挑起战争，但将会自我防卫对抗任何侵犯行为。”
分析师a表示：“伊朗选择攻击的目标似乎不是很重要。美方似乎也没有人员伤亡。所以市场认为伊朗这次攻击主要是给国内民众交代。美国公众舆论也不支持与伊朗开战。”
分析师称，伊朗希望避免与更强大的美国军事力量发生任何常规的军事冲突。美国和欧洲政府消息人士称，他们认为伊朗在导弹袭击中有意避免造成美军人员伤亡，以免事态升级。
交易员的关注焦点料重新回到全球经济状况。美国和中国下周将签订第一阶段贸易协议，预计将为风险资产提供潜在支撑。
但也有人认为，这种看法过于乐观，贸易和整体经济增长前景仍易受到美中贸易关系波动，以及地缘政治紧张局势不断升温的影响，金价回调空间较为有限。
世界银行周三微幅下调了对2019年和2020年的全球增长预测，因尽管美中两国贸易紧张局势有所降温，但贸易和投资的复苏仍慢于预期。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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