欧元反攻，得益于特朗普的言论
关键词：欧元反攻
欧元对美元的走势持续走高，美元走软是因为汇价上行的原因，而在近期对美联储进行抨击之后，美国总统特朗普表示，希望美联储在再次犯错误之前，能够了解市场行情，不要让市场流动性更差。此番言论加剧了市场对美联储2019年加息放缓步伐的预期。
在近期抨击美联储加息后，时段内美国总统特朗普表示，我希望美联储的人再次犯错误之前，能读读今天《华尔街日报》的社论。此外，不要让市场变得比现在流动性更差，别再谈50个基点了。感受市场，不要只看无意义的数字。好运！
在美联储即将召开为期两天的议息会议之际，虽然特朗普此番言论无力阻力美联储12月加息，但也加剧了市场对美联储2019年加息放缓加息步伐的预期，从而施压美元，提振欧元。
分析师表示，欧元兑美元短期内将位于1.13附近，未来12个月内将升至1.25，虽然欧洲央行目前正式结束了购债计划，但12月例会清楚地表示目前不会立即加息。与此同时，美联储似乎决定达到中性利率，之后加息立场软化，使得风险偏向于继续套利并为美元提供周期性支持。
考虑到未来一周内市场缺乏重磅经济数据出炉，因此其他外部因素以及美联储利率决议将成为欧元兑美元走势的关键，整体而言，由于临近年底，我们不会排除空头回补可能会帮助欧元兑美元进一步走高的风险。
目前圣诞节和新年假期逐步临近，市场似乎已提前进入度假模式，不过年底前市场仍可能出现大行情，本周包括美联储在内的多家央行将公布12月利率决议，投资者们将寻求交投方向。
反之可能令汇市维持区间交投之势，未来十几个交易日仓位、估值及流动性可能发挥更大作用，本周美联储12月利率决议可能奠定2019年汇市交投方向，欧元兑美元已自低点进行调整，上行关注能否上破1.1450。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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