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歐元空頭正盛,黃金短期如何走

昨日歐洲時段,歐元對美元行情窄幅震盪,延續前三個交易日的地位整理波動,但歐元前景依舊被市場看跌。黃金價格亦為一周新低,同時黃金短期走向暫時已經見頂,後市短期如何發展呢?

有消息稱,德國總理默克爾將在2021年任期屆滿後不再尋求連任,這讓投資者對歐洲未來經濟政治走向感到迷茫。這可能和她在該國多場地方選舉中節節敗退有關。目前,歐元區動盪不堪,義大利預算危機遇到強大阻力,英國脫歐的最終方案也遲遲沒有定論,德國政治的不確定性更是帶來挑戰。加之美國經濟數據依舊維持強勁,令歐元再度承壓。

從歐元兌美元日圖級別來看,歐美繼續在下跌趨勢通道內運行,5天線對K線的壓制較為明顯。從均線的角度看,均線空頭排列,下跌趨勢不變,目前沒有出現任何多方變盤信號,暫時的止穩可能醞釀之後的挑戰前期低點。當前指標空方區域內運行,KD已經進入超賣區,後市可以觀察弱勢區的鈍化。操作上,獅子金融建議,不宜追空,可等待反彈之後尋找做空機會。

昨晚,美股再次呈現下跌狀態,但市場表現較為平靜,投資者似乎已經習慣美股空頭格局,黃金多頭也因此暫歇。但如果後市美股的跌勢無法控制,避險情緒可能會再次萌生。目前,12月加息在即,美元不斷走強,利率也不斷上升,投資者可能不太願意長期持有沒有利息的黃金,這將對黃金施壓。

從黃金日圖級別來看,黃金上方壓力明顯。首先來自半年線的壓制,黃金連續的上沖都未能有效突破。其次,前期壓力位,也剛好目前位於半年線附近,突破之後也都無法站穩,表明在這個位置多方還需醞釀。而下方有震盪區間以及均線的支撐,往下空間不大。在上有壓力下有支撐的情況下,後市繼續震盪的概率較大。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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