欧盟访美败兴而归，贸易纷争强化黄金但欠缺火候
关键词：欧盟访美
投资者近日关注焦点转向欧美摩擦，欧盟高层和美国总统的会晤可能无果而终，但是有分析师认为，全球贸易战的焦点依旧是中美两国，因此短期内，避险资金针对欧美贸易问题大肆发挥的空间较为有限。
投资者还在关注欧洲央行(ECB)周四(7月26日)的政策会议，以便寻求有关欧银退出宽松新的指引。欧洲央行在上个月会议上向市场传达信号，称利率将保持不变“至少到2019年夏季”，当时还宣布将在年底结束其标志性购债计划。
分析师说：“欧元继续横盘波动，不顾贸易战风险变得愈发明显，也不管美国总统方面犯下了多少政治失误。但汇市无法长期忽视实际的经济状况，(欧元)下行趋势将会来临。问题只是什么时候来。”
特朗普上周五在接受美国国家广播公司商业新闻台(CNBC)电视节目采访中就对中国贸易失衡问题表示：“我们将下大手笔，我准备扩大到5000亿美元。”
中国发改委就业司巡视员哈增友表示，中美贸易摩擦对就业稳定带来一些不确定影响，要守住就业的底线，绝不允许出现大规模的失业。
美国企业业绩强劲，加上中国有望加大对经济的财政支持，使得风险偏好基本上依然强劲。但如果贸易纠纷升级进一步向其他国家蔓延，由此引起的物价上行压力大幅抬头，可能会损及风险偏好，金价有望转升。
外界预期，虽然参议院不太可能在11月选举前有所行动，但在选后参议院可利用一项众议院举措来进行两党立法，藉此来处理2017年全面税改中那些带来意料之外副作用的条款。
此举还将有可能减少一些行业、企业和个人因特朗普发动贸易战而受到的损失，进而安抚他们对特朗普发动贸易战的不满情绪，为特朗普连任总统尽可能多地扫除障碍。从而实现华府经济政策在未来更长时间内保持连贯性，巩固美元的牛市基础。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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