美朝峰会重开,欧洲麻烦助攻黄金多头
5月29日,现货黄金价格低开高走,虽然美朝峰会的希望重燃,且欧元汇率重挫提振美元,均打压金价,但欧洲政局不稳,意大利废弃欧元前景浮现,又给市场带来新的避险情绪。
大田环球分析师说:“似乎对后市走向不太确定,尤其是在朝鲜峰会之后。与此同时美国或将再度加息。”
市场在等待本周稍晚出炉的美国通胀数据,可能在美联储6月会议前提供关于未来升息的线索。
周一白宫称美总统特朗普同日本首相安倍晋三电话讨论了朝鲜局势,确认在朝美峰会前会晤。
韩国总统文在寅周一表示,可能与朝鲜进行更多的临时会谈,其中包括峰会。
意大利总统马塔雷拉(Sergio Mattarella)周一将这个国家送上了重新选举的道路。他任命前国际货币基金组织(IMF)官员科塔雷利(Carlo Cottarelli)担任临时总理,赋予他的任务就是筹备提前选举并让下一份预算案获得通过。
意大利政治危机升级,可能会在秋季大选;意大利央行行长维斯科发表讲话称,意大利距离丧失国际信任已经不远了,必须进行改革。
而意大利民主党领导人则警告称,意大利北方联盟党和五星运动党计划离开欧元区。
面对意大利的政治僵局,投资者不得不再次考虑欧元的存亡。据研究机构Sentix的数据,衡量意大利在未来12个月之内退出货币联盟可能性的一个指标,从4月份的3.6%跃升至5月份的11.3%。这将整个欧元区的解体指数推至13%,这是一年多来的最高水平。
分析师表示,意大利组建新政府的困难,以及联盟党和五星运动党组成反欧元联盟的前景,引起了投资者的警觉。过去几天意大利债券价格暴跌,将收益率推高至数年未见的水平。意大利与德国债券的收益率差达到2013年以来最大。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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