美国税改公告即将公布!黄金如何应对
12月19日,现货黄金价格在美元走软的扶助下微涨,投资人考量美国税改法案的潜在影响,本周美国国会有很高的可能性通过该法案。众议院料将在12月19日进行表决,参议院将在12月19日稍晚或12月20日表决。
此前持保留态度的两名参议院共和党议员周一(12月18日)同意支持特朗普总统的税改法案,众议院料将在周二进行表决,参议院将在周二稍晚或周三(12月20日)表决。
分析师说:“本周通过税改法案并签署,应该会拖累金价下滑,因这意味着对于风险资产的需求将增加,且利率和美元将走升。”不过Sayed表示,收益率曲线趋平可能会限制美元的升幅。
围绕税改的乐观情绪已经帮助股市飙升至纪录高位,不过美元依旧陷于近期的区间,且交投迟滞,因投资者在揣摩税改对经济增长的最终效果会如何。
分析师说:“我们对金价此后的上行潜力有些担心,不会在当前水平上买入,因为我们认为在目前阶段有更多理由看空。股市上涨,比特币价格飙升,以及税改有可能使得美元和美国收益率在短期内上升的可能,这些因素都对金价构成压力。”
分析师表示,目前金价的关键风险为美国税改,预计本周美国议员将会投票通过,这将提振美债收益率、股市以及美元指数,因大幅减税将会促进该国经济增长。因此,美国税改可能会给黄金带来直接下行压力,令其重返1245美元甚至更低的位置,不过因市场已经多数预计税改将会通过,黄金的潜在下行压力或将有限。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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