特朗普假如新政失败，黄金将涨至1400
美银美林表示，国际金价可能很快有效突破1300美元/盎司，并在此后进一步走强，在明年初达到1400美元/盎司的水平，特朗普政府是否能实现改革承诺是决定金价走势前景的关键因素。
分析师表示：“欧洲央行正在启动一个紧缩周期，但却仍没有解决欧元区内部的结构性问题。因此，从黄金的角度来看，其正在经历一个回升周期，几个月前看到了低点，现在可能正位于上升通道。一些新出现的因素最终导致欧元走高，再加上美国长期利率停滞不前，这对以美元计价黄金价格来说是一种利好消息。”
金价今年已经上涨了12%左右，但目前的交易价格仍难突破1300美元/盎司的关键心理关口。布兰奇表示，金价上涨的部分原因是美元走软、国内政治动荡，以及美朝之间的地缘政治紧张局势。而眼下，特朗普政府是否能实现改革承诺是决定金价走势前景的关键因素。不过，近期投资者则选择了加密货币而不是黄金作为避险投资品种，这使得金价涨势部分受限。
本周，所有人的目光都集中在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的年度央行行长会议上。该会议将于8月24日开始，8月26日结束。 美联储主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)和欧洲央行行长德拉基(Mario Draghi)将于8月25日发表备受关注的讲话。交易员们将在这两人的讲话中寻找有关任何可能的货币政策动向线索。
分析师表示：“该会议让我感到有点紧张。如果他们本周末发表评论，市场可能在周日出现一些波动。一个倾向看涨的市场可能会获得一些利润，进入杰克逊霍尔会议后，投资者可能会了结一些头寸。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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