EIA库存大减，黄金持续上升
7月19日欧洲时段，美元指数升势受阻，盘整于94.63-94.89，欧系货币多数承压，商品货币再度反攻，加元创逾一年新高，澳元创逾两年新高；因美元疲弱和特朗普屡屡受挫，黄金收复日内跌幅，最高触及1244.15美元/盎司；EIA库存大减472.70万桶，但若无新基本面利好，上行空间有限。
1.欧洲央行管委维勒鲁瓦：欧洲央行已经战胜了通缩风险；英国脱欧对欧元区而言是个机会；我们仍需要宽松的货币政策，但会根据经济和通胀形势调整力度。
2.伦敦金属交易所(LME)：铜库存增加1975吨，铝库存减少4225吨，锌库存减少1450吨，镍库存增加1416吨，锡库存增加30吨，铅库存减少950吨。
美元指数欧洲时段震荡盘整，持续承压于95关口，交投于94.63-94.89区间；欧系货币多数承压，欧元、英镑均承压震荡；商品货币再度反攻，美元兑加元加速下挫，跌幅扩大至0.35%，再创2016年5月以来新低1.2578；澳元兑美元再上层楼，创2015年5月以来新高0.7954；美联储年内再度加息预期降温，油价反弹，近日澳大利亚及中国经济数据表现良好，近期加拿大央行升息，多重因素均利好商品货币。
现货黄金欧洲时段自日内低点反弹，一度基本收复跌幅，最高触及1244.15美元/盎司；近期美元走势疲弱，特朗普新医改受挫，且遭到议员发起弹劾，希腊债务问题重新浮出水面，多重因素限制了金价的回调，并令其止跌回升。
不过，目前市场已经基本消化了这些利多因素，在没有新的利好因素出台的情况下，金价短线上行空间有限，料止步1250美元/盎司关口。
美国EIA库存大减472.70万桶，降幅超预期，预期为减少346.28万桶，美国原油主力合约收复47美元关口，创6月8日以来新高47.38美元/盎司。
虽然日内早些时候公布的API原油库存意外增加163万桶，但近两周原油库存基本处于下降趋势，兼之美元疲弱、传言沙特可能减少原油出口，引发原油价格持续反弹；纽市盘初，EIA库存大减加快了这一升势；然而，与其说油价反弹是因为基本面利好，不如说油价反弹是因为空头回补；美油想要升破50美元关口，仍需更多基本面因素支撑。
国际能源署(IEA)石油行业及市场部门主管指出，下半年原油库存将下降，并支撑油价，但受美国页岩油产量影响，油价不会上涨太多。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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