美国PCE物价指数接近2%目标
知名金融博客网站Zerohedge周三(3月1日)撰文称,日内多数分析师在美国个人消费报告关注的核心数据就是个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数。美国商务部(DOC)数据显示,美国1月PCE物价指数较去年同期上升1.9%,1月核心PCE物价指数较去年同期上升1.7%,略微低于美联储2.0%的通胀目标,但已经是自2012年以来最接近美联储2%的通胀目标。
更多数据显示,美国1月个人收入较前月增加0.4%,预估为增加0.3%,不过美国1月个人消费支出仅增加0.2%, 不及预期的0.3%。
由于美国1月个人收入增幅大于个人消费支出增幅,因此储蓄率从数年低位开始回升,从12月的5.4%上升至5.5%。
收入方面,美国个人收入增长的主要来源是服务行业薪资,1月增加了225亿美元,而商品制造业薪资增长仅为40亿美元,同时社会福利贡献了另外的90亿美元。
尽管如此,考虑到物价上扬的因素,美国1月经通胀调整后的实际个人消费支出环比下降了0.3%,为2009年9月以来最大降幅。
此外,由于通胀抬头,美国1月个人可支配收入未能实现增长,实际个人年度可支配收入降至1.5%,为逾3年最低水平,这也为美国消费支出前景敲响警钟。
美国1月消费者支出上升幅度低于预期,且由于通胀上涨速度为4年以来最快,这使得家庭购买力下降,预计第一季度经济将温和增长。
华尔街日报点评美国PCE物价指数称,本轮美国PCE物价数据表明通胀正在逐步接近美联储设定的2%目标水平;PCE物价指数作为美联储的锚定通胀指标,自2012年4月以来一直低于2%,也是美联储无视就业和经济增长的强劲而选择不加息的原因之一,如今不断升温的通胀或将提升美联储最快于本月加息的概率。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.