美元回调令英镑暂时收复100日均线,苏格兰公投隐忧犹存
周二(2月28日)英镑兑美元在亚洲时段表现良好,目前已站稳100日均线,美国10年期国债收益率在经历了隔夜的大涨后今日有所下滑,这推动了英镑兑美元的反弹,但在苏格兰或将举行独立公投的背景下,英镑反弹或将受阻。
周一(2月27日)美元全线大幅逆转走强,因据美国《华盛顿邮报》报道,美国总统特朗普表示,将在新财年预算中新增国防预算540亿美元,以兑现自己竞选时所作的增加军费开支的承诺。
美国政府官员周一表示,特朗普总统的首个预算提案将寻求大幅增加国防和基建预算,同时削减非国防部门预算,如对外援助预算和美国国家环境保护局预算。
而目前的焦点仍在北京时间周三(3月1日)特朗普即将在国会进行的发言,以期寻找关于税改政策的焦点。
分析师认为尽管特朗普的讲话可能涉及基建计划,有助于提振美元及美债收益率,但究竟能为美元带来多大的上升空间仍有待观察,因为税改计划可能要等到3月份才出炉。
目前市场继续权衡苏格兰独立公投的可能性,分析师认为,英镑若想持续反弹还有待考量。此前有报道称,在3月份英国触发《里斯本条约》第50条的同时,苏格兰可能宣布进行独立公投,英国首相特雷莎·梅正在为此做准备。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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