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美联储纪要影响渐消,不佳数据拖累澳元下滑

周四(2月23日)美元指数短暂下挫后便转为上行,美联储政策会议纪要及美国财长谈话的影响已逐渐消退。因此前公布的第四季资本支出数据不及预期,澳元在黯淡经济数据出炉后下跌。美元兑日元和欧元兑美元则维持窄幅震荡的走势。

美元指数目前已转跌为涨,上日则下跌约0.1%,此前在美联储公布会议纪要后,跌至101.11的低位。周四盘初回到101.30附近,因此前有报导称美国财长努钦重申,长期来看强势美元是件好事。

美联储公布的2月会议纪要对市场来说比较含混,虽然决策者不像外界预期的那么强硬,但他们的看法仍使得3月份加息不无可能。

会议纪要显示,如果就业和通胀数据符合预期,“很快”再度加息可能是合适的。

美元多头最初感到失望,美联储主席耶伦上周曾表示,等待过久才再度升息是“不明智的”。决策者提到若美元升值,可能带来不利的经济后果,这也打压美元走低。

亚洲时段波动相对剧烈的是澳元。因数据显示澳洲第四季资本支出下滑2.1%,降幅大于市场预期的1.0%,这给澳元带来冲击。

欧元兑美元基本持平,此前从上日所及一个半月低位1.0494回升。欧元隔夜反弹,因法国反对欧盟的总统候选人玛琳娜·勒庞在选举中获胜的机率略有下滑。勒庞可能胜选以及对欧元区潜在的负面影响,令欧元在近期受到困扰。

法国颇有影响力的中间派政治人士贝胡(Francois Bayrou)周三(2月22日)宣布与独立总统候选人马克龙结盟,有可能增大马克宏在这场激烈角逐中的胜算。不过澳元今年仍稳步上扬,因澳洲收益率相对较高,而且铁矿石价格上涨。澳元兑美元一周前曾触及三个月高位0.7732。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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