美元反弹 黄金丧失部分上涨动能
国际现货黄金周五(2月17日)由涨转跌陷入盘整,美市盘中最低下探至1234.60美元/盎司,金价上涨动能有所减弱,但仍录得0.14%周涨幅,本周由于投资者对欧美政治的不确定性的焦虑,使得黄金继续成为投资目标。
日内公布的美国1月谘商会领先指标月率上升且好于预期,表明今年上半年美国经济前景积极。数据提振美元,对黄金的走势构成一定压力。
近期,风险资产美股及避险资产黄金均双双上涨,各自都有支撑的理由。美联储加息预期及特朗普即将推出的经济刺激政策对美股无疑是利好;然而,特朗普政府的不稳定性及今年荷兰、法国和德国大选的不确定性对黄金也是支撑。
有分析师认为,黄金今年表现好过股票,表明股市已经被过度高估了,投资者买入黄金对冲风险。只要金价处于1200上方,仍然多头的市场。
然而,也有分析师称,今年以来黄金已上涨超过7%,在市场高企的时候交易员商非常谨慎,美联储加息的可能性在即将到来的3月份已渐行渐近,这对黄金的上涨形成一定的阻碍。
不过,黄金ETF投资者热情依然不减,世界最大的黄金ETF,SPDR本月持仓已增加了5.6%,是2016年6月以来最多的。分析师称,投资者继续投资黄金ETF是支撑黄金继续上涨的重要条件。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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