美国1月就业市场状况指数摆脱负值强于预期
美联储(FED)周一(2月6日)数据显示，美国12月就业市场状况指数(LMCI)录得+1.3，远好于前值的-0.3。数据公布后，金银短线下跌，美元上涨。
就业市场状况指数揭示了美联储对就业情况的解读，该指数对市场了解美联储对就业市场的态度非常重要，美联储也曾多次表示该指数比非农数据更加真实地反映出劳动力市场状况。
备受市场瞩目的1月非农就业报告如期出炉。作为美国总统特朗普上任后的第一份就业“成绩单”，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，美国1月非农就业人数大幅增加22.7万人，远超市场预期增加18.0万人，为四个月来最多。但失业率增加0.1个百分点，至4.8%。同时薪资增长意外放缓至0.1%，远低于预期的0.3%，表明劳动力市场仍有一些闲置，将令通胀受到抑制。根据CME Group的FedWatch，就业报告发布后，联邦基金利率期货消化的3月升息的可能性不到10%，6月升息的可能性超过60%。平均时薪仅增长0.1%，低于市场预估的0.3%，12月的薪资增长率也被下调。
LMCI趋势通常领先非农增长年率6-12个月，也就是说，非农数据滞后于LMCI指数6-12个月，这意味着LMCI走势对未来非农长期走势有重要参考作用。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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