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受耶伦鹰派讲话影响,亚市黄金短线暴跌

周四(1月19日)亚市盘中,现货黄金一度短线失守1200美元整数关口,刷新四日低点至1197.70美元/盎司,因凌晨美联储主席耶伦讲话偏向鹰派,且隔夜美国CPI等数据表现大好,强化了美联储2017年的加息预期;日内需关注10日均线1195附近的支撑,一旦失守,金价有望终结近期反弹走势并重启跌势,日内市场还在关注欧洲央行利率决议。

美联储主席耶伦表示,美联储接近达成双重目标。通胀目前低于2%,就业市场仍有更多改善空间,与多数同僚都预计未来一年会有多次加息,下一次加息时间取决于“未来数月的”经济形势。等待太久才加息会迫使美联储激进加息,会将经济拖入衰退。在2016年12月的时候,预计美联储到2019年每年都将加息几次。

隔夜数据方面,美国12月未季调CPI年率上升2.1%,升幅创2014年6月以来最大;美国12月工业产出月率增长0.8%,亦录得两年来最佳表现。

此外,达拉斯联储主席、2017年FOMC票委卡普兰(Robert Kaplan)隔夜讲话也偏向鹰派,他表示,美联储2017年加息3次的预期体现了他本人的观点,美联储需逐步、耐心加息,经济增长和结构性改革将允许美联储更快地加息。美联储应在2017年晚些时候退出宽松货币政策,进一步升息,削减美联储的资产负债表。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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