英国就业市场稳健 英镑小升聚焦美联储决议
周三(12月14日)欧市盘初公布的英国至10月三个月ILO失业率及11月失业率均符合预期，包括红利的工资增幅超预期，英镑兑美元上涨近二十点至1.2667；此次英国就业数据表现稳健，料为英国央行本周维稳提供数据依据，进而短线温和提振英镑；目前市场焦点聚集于将于周四凌晨3:00公布的美联储利率决议。
最新公布的英国就业数据表明，脱欧公投后英国就业市场并未遭到明显冲击，料为英国央行本周维持利率不变提供数据依据，进而短线温和提振英镑。最近几个月通胀前景的快速变化已经迫使英国央行在8月降息后转变其立场；经济学家预计当英国央行于本周四(12月15日)宣布其2016年最终决定时，该行将维持关键利率在历史低位0.25%不变。
英国至10月三个月ILO就业人数下降0.6万，远差于预期值上升5万；失业率维稳于4.8%，不过包括红利的工资增速超出预期，表明英国劳动力就业增速在英国脱欧后有所放缓。
近期彭博调查显示，经济学家们普遍预计英国央行本周将按兵不动，因到2017年初英国通胀可能升破2%的目标位，有近2/3经济学家认为英国央行下次决议将加息。
此外，北京时间周四凌晨3:00将公布美联储决议，目前各大机构及分析师几乎一致认为美联储本周将加息，市场关注焦点转向美联储2017年加息路径；该决议料引发汇价短线大幅波动，目前投资者交投相对谨慎。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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