欧元兑美元维持窄幅波动，周四欧银决议前市场情绪谨慎
周三(12月7日)欧市盘中，欧元兑美元维持在1.07关口上方窄幅震荡，现报1.0726，因意大利大选或提前至明年令欧元承压。不过在周四的欧洲央行决议前，市场情绪谨慎。
意大利内政部长周二称，预计意大利将于明年2月进行新一轮选举。不过也有分析师指出，意大利大选提前至明年2月可能不切实际。
新出台的选举法案不大可能在明年年初出炉，只有在立宪法院裁定能否使用新出台的选举法后，各党派才能自由投票。
从欧元目前走势来看，这一消息对欧元打压有限，汇价短期仍处于反弹趋势中。
自特朗普胜选后，市场关于美联储加息的预期急速升温，欧元兑美元已经下跌了逾4%，周一一度跌至20个月低点1.0503，而这可能是年内低点。
本周的焦点在本周四公布的欧洲央行决议上。调查显示，大多数分析师预计欧洲央行本周会议将宣布把量化宽松计划延长六个月，并预计欧洲央行将维持月度资产购买规模不变。
如果欧洲央行仅仅宣布延长QE的话，对欧元的打压较为有限，欧元短暂下挫后可能很快收复跌势，甚至欧元并不会下跌，因市场已经充分消化了这一消息。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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