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美指突破102跳升至近14年新高

周四(11月24日)欧市盘中,美元指数短线跳升,突破102关口,创近14年新高102.05,受美联储加息预期提振。非美货币纷纷急挫,美元兑日元突破113关口,创七个半月新高113.51,欧元兑美元跌至逾一年半新低1.0518。

自特朗普当选美国总统以来,美元指数已经劲升4%,隔夜靓丽的经济数据以及美联储会议纪要都为美联储12月加息提供支撑。根据CME FedWatch,市场现预计美联储在12月加息的可能性近100%。

隔夜公布的数据显示,美国10月耐用品订单月率初值上升4.8%,创2015年10月来最高水平。

美联储周三公布的纪要也显示,美联储高官在此次会议上一致认为,在就业市场状况改善以及通胀有所上升的环境下,现在可能已经到了该相对较快地加息的合适时机。

BNY Mellon高级全球市场策略师Marvin Loh称,除非下周美国就业数据惨淡,其它都将促使美联储行动。即便就业数据尤其疲弱,影响也可能大打折扣,因过渡性数据会被修正。

美元兑日元升破113关口,创七个半月新高113.51,涨幅为0.84%。不过摩根大通仍看涨日元,其预计美元兑日元在2017年底将跌至99,因对美国候任总统特朗普的保护主义的担忧,上调美元兑日元在2017年第一季度的预期至108,此前为102。

欧元兑美元跌至逾一年半新低1.0518,跌幅为0.14%;英镑兑美元短线急挫,刷新日低1.2403。汇通财经了解到,随着特朗普在2016年美国大选中获胜,其所倡导的贸易保护主义以及财政刺激措施,使得关于欧元兑美元将跌至平价的呼声渐起。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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