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欧元兑美元在1.06上方整固

周二(11月22日)欧市盘中,欧元兑美元震荡上扬,刷新日高至1.0649,过去两周因美联储加息急速升温,欧元已经下跌近5%。随着市场对这一利空消息消化,欧元短期暂无大幅下行之忧。

美国当选总统特朗普将增加财政支出,可能引发通胀和推高利率,这是导致欧元过去两周暴跌的关键因素。根据CME数据,交易商押注美联储12月升息的概率已经飙升至95.4%。

一名驻伦敦交易员称,此前的多重利好已经被市场消化了,美元并没有再度攀升的筹码,即使周三的美联储会议纪要鹰派,对美元的提振也较为有限。

加拿大丰业银行首席汇市策略师Shaun Osborne说,美元下跌只不过是修正,或至少是盘整。他仍然看好美元中期前景,因为利率上升,预期美国经济成长增强。

下个月意大利将迎来修宪公投,最新的民调显示意大利的投票者将会反对宪法改革。如果修宪失败,将导致民粹政党“五星运动党”支持率大增,而该党派的主要计划之一即是推动意大利“脱欧公投”。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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