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市场暗示希拉里当选,美元攀升

周一(11月7日)距离美国总统大选投票还有一天,FBI决定不会对希拉里展开刑事诉讼,这使得胜选的天枰再度偏向希拉里,市场风险偏好大幅回升,美元指数因此受到支撑上涨,而避险金价则遭抛售。

具体市场上,美元指数升至四日高位,大选最后关头金融市场重新认为希拉里有望当选;金价重挫跌至五日低位,FBI不指控希拉里消息提振美元和股市,施压避险金价。

美元指数升至四日高位,大选最后关头金融市场重新认为希拉里有望当选。当然无论哪位领导人当选,这届美国总统大选势必会给全球金融市场带来冲击。

之前美国总统选举进入冲刺阶段时FBI抛出一枚重弹。FBI称,正在审查希拉里另外的一批电子邮件,致使希拉里有10天处于守势,并增强了对手特朗普获胜的几率。如果特朗普当选,则将施压美元,并给金融市场造成巨大冲击。

交易员表示,投资人现在再度强烈预期希拉里将胜选,这将为美国下个月升息铺平道路。

市场一直倾向于认为希拉里获胜会保持现状,因此有利于她的消息经常提振市场的风险偏好。而特朗普在移民、外交和贸易上的立场对风险偏好不利。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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