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美指自七个月高位回落

周四(10月13日)美元指数周四从七个月高位下跌,因风险意愿回落,此前中国贸易数据疲弱,令美联储在年底前加息的市场感到不安。

美元指数创下一个月来最大单日百分比跌幅。美元兑日元和瑞郎也从逾两个月高位下跌,这两种避险货币通常在政治或金融状况紧张时得益。

BK Asset Management外汇策略部门董事总经理Boris Schlossberg说,“若中国经济成长大幅放缓,可能再次阻挠美国当局将货币政策正常化的计划,考虑这种可能性可能为时尚早,但今日中国的消息肯定为美元进一步向下修正奠定了基础。”

9月中国以人民币计价出口同比下降5.6%,以美元计价出口同比下降10%。

美元兑一篮子货币本月迄今上涨超过2%,受对美国加息的预期提振。投资者消化美联储在12月政策会议上升息的机率为约70%,周三公布的美联储9月会议记录巩固了这一预期。

美联储9月货币政策会议记录显示,美联储内部对升息时机的分歧还是很大。多位有投票权的委员认为,如果美国经济继续增强,应该会在“相对短的时间内”加息。

纽约尾盘,美元指数下跌0.4%,至97.538,日内稍早触及七个月高位。美元兑日元尾盘跌0.5%,至103.61,此前触及7月底来最高水准。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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