多头惨遭重创 黄金连失四大关口
国际现货黄金周二（10月4日）在北京时间20:26分时跌破1300美元/盎司的关键支撑位后，跌势不减，美市盘中最低下探至1,272.01美元/盎司，为6月24日来最低,盘中跌幅一度逾3%，连破1300、1290、1280及1270关口。
COMEX最活跃12月期金合约在北京时间20:20-20:24五分钟内成交量达14333手，价值逾18亿美金卖盘令现货金急挫跌破1300美元/盎司。
周二白银也大幅下挫，收于17.77美元/盎司，下跌1.02美元，跌幅5.43%。
日内无重大数据公布，但美联储里奇蒙主席拉克尔非常强硬的鹰派言论对黄金形成了沉重的打压。拉克尔称，美联储或需要大幅加息，加息的理由已经很充分；美联储目前的政策利率应至少1.5%；当前的政策利率极低；就目前经济而言，美联储无需考虑降息。
周二黄金的急挫主要仍是美联储加息预期急升引发的。最近发布的美国经济数据总体而言对黄金较为不利，周一(10月3日)因美国9月ISM制造业PMI强于预期，提振美元指数走强，金价当天连续第五个交易日下跌，盘中触及一周低位。
纽约联储主席杜德利周一也发表讲话称，就算美国在未来数年陷入衰退，但美联储未必能向上次一样大幅降息。
周二美联储官员拉克尔的强硬言论更增强了加息预期，美国联邦基金利率期货显示，投资者预计美联储在12月13-14日会议上加息的几率为63%，较周一的62%有所上升。
周五美国9月非农就业数据即将公布，如果好于预期，则12月加息的概率将会大大提升。目前已跌破1300关键支撑的黄金，恐将引发更多的抛售潮，后市凶多吉少。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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