金价寻底仍将持续 周内关注美国CPI数据
美联储理事布雷纳德发表了偏鸽派的讲话后黄金跌势有所缓解，但周二金价仍继续下跌，在短期内金价将继续在在1300-1350区间盘整。尽管市场目前已将9月加息的几率下调，但加息的可能性并未消除，黄金短期内压力不会减少。最近是各国央行的密集议息期间，除了下周美联储的议息决定之外,日本央行将于9月21日公布最新的利率决议。在这些重大决定发布之前，市场观望气氛浓重，不过有机构仍认为支撑黄金上涨的基本面不变，金价下一步还将继续上行，目前不过是寻底阶段。
周一晚些时候，高盛在一份报告中将美联储9月加息的概率从此前预期的40%下调至25%。此外，高盛也将12月加息的概率从此前的30%上调至40%。
美联储在10月份也将召开货币政策会议，但是临近11月美国大选，因而预计美联储在10月份并不会有任何政策行动。
在美联储进入静默期的情况下，接下来周内即将公布的美国经济数据将备受市场关注，尤其是周五即将公布的美国CPI数据。在短期内，任何利多美元的消息对于黄金来讲，均为利空，除非美国股市出现暴跌。黄金价格周内涨势仍将取决于接下来本周晚些时候即将公布的美国零售销售、通货膨胀以及消费者信心指数等经济数据。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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