美元走弱助金价小幅反弹，“鹿死谁手”还看CPI数据
周二(8月16日)亚欧时段现货黄金小幅上涨，一度刷新两日高点至1350.11美元/盎司，因市场普遍预期美联储9月不会加息令美元走弱，不过市场还在关注美国更多的经济数据,尤其是晚间出炉的美国7月CPI数据。
据美国联邦基金利率期货显示，美联储9月加息的概率仅18%，这令美元持续走弱，一度创两周低点至95.07，帮助金价小幅上涨，不过目前仍承压于1350美元整数关口。
市场将关注稍晚美国公布的经济数据，包括消费者物价指数(CPI)、房屋开工及工业生产数据，这是衡量美国经济状况的又一机会。
现货黄金可能重返8月12日低点1333.50美元，因其从该水准开始的反弹可能已结束。贸易机构MKSPamp在报告中称，金价的初步阻力位在重要的1350美元关口，第一道支撑位在1335-1336美元左右。
美联储官员和政府必须推出新政策，为经济应对长期的低利率提供缓冲，而后者可能导致未来的衰退更加严重且更难以规避。
值得一提的是，周一美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管文件显示，在第二季金价上涨至两年高点之际，索罗斯基金管理公司(SorosFundManagementLLC)大幅削减黄金持仓；暗示部分多头开始撤离。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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