加息飘忽不定 美指走强金银维持震荡偏空
黄金继续徘徊在1340美元下方，曾触及1335美元日低，因隔夜美国公布的经济数据表现向好，同时美联储官员暗示今年应该进一步加息，提振美元指数攀升，道指和标普500指数均创下历史新高，从而打压金价自1350美元上方回落，盘中最低下探1336美元。另外，由于今年以来金价强势上扬，令中国和印度这两个全球最大黄金消费国的需求走疲，未来金价恐难以受到实物需求的支撑。
隔夜美国劳工部周四(8月11日)发布的数据显示，美国8月6日当周初请失业金人数虽然略高于预期值，但已经连续75周低于30万，连续时间创1973年以来最长，这表明美国劳动力市场在8月初仍很强劲，或许会刺激美国经济加速增长。此外，报告显示公司裁员跌至近两年最低点，美国劳工部认为美国已接近或达到充分就业状态。
根据路透调查显示，美联储(FED)或在11月8日总统大选之后的12月进行加息。该调查预期尽管通胀还是相对疲弱，但经济仍会稳步增长。
新华社在上周三的期刊中表示，押注中国今年会实现货币宽松的市场投机者可能要失望而归。
世界黄金协会(WGC)周四表示，今年上半年对黄金的投资需求创纪录高点。世界黄金协会称，印度黄金需求继上半年降至七年低点之后，下半年或受气候提振，黄金需求有望重回理性区间。从印度国内据悉，印度三分之二的黄金需求主要来自农村。
今年以来黄金已上涨27%，主要还是由于美联储加息预期受阻而给予的支撑，目前在全球货币政策日趋宽松的情况下，美联储加息也面临困境。即便是美国经济数据得到改善，但宏观环境仍然是不给力的。不过，目前黄金虽然仍受到美联储加息预期延迟的支撑，但下半年能否像上半年那样强劲上涨则有很大的不确定性。巴克莱分析师称，下半年黄金及大宗商品的走势可能会反转，黄金涨势难以为继。世界最大黄金ETF–SPDRGOLDTRUST持仓周四较上日减少0.3吨，当前持仓量为972.32吨，这已是该基金连续第三日减仓。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.