英镑兑美元和欧元下跌
周二(7月19日)英镑兑美元一度跌破1.3200,最低触及1.3171。有越来越多迹象显示,只要英镑上涨,投资者就可能会逢高卖出,因上月英国公投脱欧后,市场预期该国经济前景低迷。
上周英镑表现为2009年以来最高,因在英国公投脱欧后,在英镑大跌14%之际卖出英镑的投资者获利了结。英镑周一上涨近三分之一。
但银行普遍预期英镑会在未来3个月内跌至1.2800,6个月内跌至1.2650,因围绕脱欧谈判持续期的不确定性会损及英国经济,而且英国央行(BOE)料将进一步放松货币政策。
荷兰银行策略师Georgette Boele在发给客户的报告中指出,“未来我们预期在数据走软、英国央行放宽货币政策、以及长久且艰难的脱欧谈判拖累下,英镑将周走软。”
日内英镑兑美元跌至1.3210附近,英镑兑欧元位于0.8380附近。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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