意大利银行业危机一触即发
意大利银行股周二(7月5日)重挫,动摇意大利经济的金融根基,并有可能蔓延至其他欧盟国家。这场危机可能把意大利重新拖入经济衰退,甚至会造成希腊式的崩跌,而欧洲将发现几乎不可能阻止。
意大利银行业者正面临大量不良贷款重压;而且总理伦齐已承诺,若他在10月宪法改革公投中失败将会辞职,令不稳定情绪升温。最近民调显示他将失利。
自6月23日英国公投退欧以来意大利银行股跌幅达到30%,今年到目前为止已跌掉57%。欧元区银行股同期跌幅分别为22%和37%。
周二该项意大利银行股指数进一步挫低1.44%,至约三年低点。
意大利政治面及金融面易受风吹草动影响,在危机时常被形容为“大到难以挽救”,所以尽管其银行业和英国脱欧有直接经济相关的地方很少,但任何全球性的震撼在意大利当地均可引发大波动。
英国脱欧之后,欧洲银行股成为重灾区,意大利银行股首当其冲,意大利银行贷款坏账率高达17%,几乎为美国的10倍,而后者即便在金融危机时期的坏账率也仅为5%。
在欧元区的上市银行中,意大利创造的坏账占一半。外媒爆料称,意大利银行业有2000亿欧元的贷款看来无法收回。
意大利央行的数据更显示,该国国内银行的不良贷款达到3600亿欧元。
据《La Stampa》,意当局正在审议的方案包括向政府出售新的可换股债券,以及通过政府组织起来的银行救助基金Atlante注资至少30亿欧元美元。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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