疲弱经济数据与加息预期骤降双重打压下美元回落
今年以来，美联储高度关注的通胀指标——核心PCE物价指数——连续五个月保持在较高水平。5月核心PCE物价指数同比上涨1.6%，符合预期。不过英国脱欧可能令导致消费者缩减开支，令美国GDP增速受到拖累。
美国商务部公布，美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率升幅持稳于1.6%，月率升幅持稳于0.2%；5月PCE物价指数月率升幅放缓至0.2%，年率升幅放缓至0.9%。美国5月个人支出月率放缓至0.4%，5月个人收入月率放缓至0.2%。
路透评论称，个人消费支出连续2个月录得上涨，受汽车和其他产品需求支撑；但英国公投担忧损及信心，令家庭缩减消费开支；若脱欧造成金融动荡，或导致企业延迟或减小资本支出，令商业投资遭受下行压力；预计未来6个季度英国脱欧将令拉低美国GDP增速0.2%。
另外，据美国联邦基金利率期货显示，升息概率骤降，随之而来的则是降息概率的陡增！在2018年之前，美联储的升息概率还没超过50%。交易员们当前预计，未来几次会议上降息可能性超过了加息。他们对2018年1月前加息机率的预测不超过50%，而且预计2018年四季度前没有百分百加息的可能。
日内，美元指数震荡下行，最低触及95.59。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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