黄金净多仓自5年高位回落 空头改口上调金价预期
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周五(5月13日)公布的周度报告显示,截至5月10日当周,COMEX黄金投机净多头头寸减少7754手,至225884手,黄金净多仓自2011年高位回落。
伴随全球股市的动荡以及美联储年内加息的市场预期降温,投资者纷纷将资金投向了避险资产,从而推动黄金价格今年迄今大幅飙升20%,一举跻身表现最佳大宗商品之列。这种涨势与高盛、华侨银行的Barnabas Gan在内的黄金熊市论者的看跌预期大相径庭。
大空头高盛本周改口上调了金价预期。在高盛最新报告中,该行将3个月、6个月和18个月金价预期分别上调9%、12%和15%。不过高盛Jeffrey Currie指出,今年夏季依然预计金价回落到1200美元/盎司的水平。
继高盛之后,华侨银行也按捺不住,宣布上调金价预期。华侨银行经济学家Barnabas Gan在周四发布的报告中将年底金价预期从之前的每盎司1100美元上调到了1200。
此外,摩根大通也表示了对金价的积极态度,该行全球固定收入、外汇和大宗商品主管Solita Marcelli表示:“金价还有大幅上行空间,预计金价将进入一个漫长的新牛市。”她表示,预期今年年底金价上涨到1400美元/盎司水平。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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