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美元绝地大反击

由于美联储的悲观预期持续发酵,美元多头周二一度惨遭重创!不过,受美联储官员讲话提振,美元指数展开“绝地大反击”。随着美元探底回升,非美货币纷纷“拜倒”,现货黄金亦自高位回落。

美元的走弱很大一部分原因是因为4月份议息会议美联储没有给加息前景给出明确的指示,而且近期美国经济数据表现不佳更是使得市场对美联储的加息进程极为悲观,但美联储官员的讲话给市场提供了些许支撑,这帮助美元暂缓跌势。

美联储哈克洛特周二表示,在今年余下的三个季度中,美国GDP增速将反弹,市场可能低估了6月采取行动的概率。这一乐观的讲话或许给予美元一些支撑。

洛克哈特当地时间在美国佛罗里达讲话时表示,“两次加息当然是有可能的。我们还要开好几次会,但加不加息完全取决于经济的发展情况。”

洛克哈特指出,6月加息是一个现实的选项,市场可能低估了6月行动的概率,但6月会议仍然取决于数据。

不过他也表示6月会议时,美联储对二季度经济状况的了解可能不够完善。讨论通胀率是否已达到美联储的期望为时过早。

根据联邦基金利率期货的价格倒推显示,目前交易员们认为今年只会加息1次,时点在12月。而6月加息可能性由上周美联储4月议息会议前的21.6%下降至目前的12%。

美市盘中,受到空头回补带动,美元指数收复日内的跌幅并刷新日高至92.94,日内稍早一度触及91.92的15个月低位。

早前因美元全线走软,非美货币纷纷反弹,不过随着美元自低位回升,英镑、欧元等非美货币则回吐涨幅。

英国制造业PMI不佳引发多头获利平仓,英镑兑美元自四个月高位1.4768大幅跳水,跌破1.46关口,最低触及1.4530;欧元/美元高位回落逾100点点至1.1503一线,此前曾上冲至1.16关口上方至逾八个月高位1.1618;澳洲联储降息至纪录低位1.75%,澳元则惨跌不止,日内最低触及0.7495;美元/日元在两年以来首次跌破106关口以后走高至106.45。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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