净多头持续飙升
尽管3月份黄金表现“黯淡无光”，但货币经理人仍然押注这一上季度表现最佳的大宗商品还会进一步上涨。
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)最新公布的数据显示，截止3月29日，对冲基金增持黄金期货和期权净多头头寸2.1%，至164,946份，为2012年末以来最高水平。货币经理人在过去四周中有三周增加多头押注。
金价在今年第一季度狂飙17%，创下1986年来最大季度涨幅，2013-2015年金价连续三年出现下滑。金价因低利率而受益，因低利率降低了持有无息黄金的机会成本。
对全球经济疲软态势可能影响美国的担忧情绪打压了美联储的加息概率。利率期货显示，美联储在7月前加息的概率降至36%，而年初时达到79%。
对于黄金多头而言，另一大利好则是美元重挫，这也会提升作为替代资产的吸引力。3月份美元指数创下2010年来最大单月跌幅。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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