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数据虽好 但仍显示不是退欧好时机

3月31日,英国公布了多项经济数据,数据显示英国第四季度经济表现不错,但经常帐赤字却进一步扩大,刷新了此前记录。

英国第四季度经常帐(亿英镑 )前值:-175 预期:-212 实际: -327.

英国第四季度GDP终值(季率) 前值:+0.5% 预期:+0.5% 实际:+0.6%

英国第四季度GDP终值(年率) 前值:+1.9% 预期:+1.9% 实际:+2.1%

英国第四季度商业投资总值终值(季率) 前值:-2.1% 实际:-2.0%

英国第四季度商业投资总值终值(年率) 前值:+2.4% 实际:+3.0%

英国2月消费信贷(亿英镑)前值:+15.64 预期:+13.0 实际:+12.87

数据公布后,因英国的第四季度GDP终值上修,英镑兑美元短线拉升逾三十点至1.4382。

英国财政大臣奥斯本认为,虽然英国2月M4货币供应月率录得2013年11月以来最大按年增幅,但公布的经济数据还是暴露了英国经济的诸多不确定性的风险,因此现在还不是退欧的好时机。

路透认为,英国第四季度经济表现较好,但经常帐赤字进一步扩大,刷新记录,这在6月英国进行退欧公投前,或加速对英国经济依赖外资的担忧;此次GDP年率终值上涨主要是受工业生产推动,此前该行业生产状况萎缩;此外服务业部门也表现良好。

 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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