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加拿大按兵不动 加元/美元急涨

加拿大央行周三决定维持利率不变,称因市场波动减弱,非能源领域出口增强。央行将在3月22日政府预算案公布后评估政府刺激措施的影响。

加拿大央行称,尽管去年第四季加拿大经济增长好于预期,但近期经济前景仍与1月评估基本一致。

正如市场普遍预期,加拿大央行将指标利率维持在0.5%,自去年7月以来该利率一直保持不变。加拿大央行去年曾两次下调利率,以对抗油价下跌的影响。原油是加拿大的主要出口产品。

加拿大央行表示,尽管美国经济仍在扩张轨道上,最近金融市场动荡“看似正在逐步缓解”,但预计低油价将持续抑制加拿大及其它能源生产国的经济增长。尽管下档风险犹存,但央行仍预计全球成长将在2016/2017年增强。

该行注意到最近加元和油价上涨,两者均已经回到接近1月预估的平均水平。

加拿大央行称,加拿大通胀发展基本与预期一致;推动总体通胀升向2%的因素“可能在未来数月释放”。核心通胀在2%左右,受助于加元贬值的临时性影响;过剩产能将继续打压通胀。通胀状况面临的风险基本均衡。

加拿大央行利率决议公布之后,加元兑美元触及4个月高位1.3238,自1.3400上方迅速上涨逾160点。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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