GDP打脸加息预期
关键词:GDP打脸加息预期
美国商务部周四(10月29日)公布的数据显示,美国三季度实际GDP年化季率略低于预期,较前值大幅下滑,受企业削减库存以缓解此前的库存过剩状况所拖累。
具体数据显示,美国三季度实际GDP年化季率初值为1.5%,低于预期值1.6%,也低于前值3.9%。另外,美国第三季度GDP平减指数初值为1.2%,低于预期值1.5%,也低于前值2.1%。
在第三季度,企业库存仅新增568亿美元,创2014年第一季度以来最低水平,并远低于第二季度的1135亿美元。该数据下挫拖累美国第三季度GDP减少1.44个百分点,为2012年第四季度以来最大拖累。
然而,库存数据的走低对GDP的拖累可能只是暂时的,经济学家预计在今年第四季度经济增速或将回升,鉴于美国国内需求强劲。
同时公布的美国第三季度实际个人消费支出季率初值为3.2%,低于预期值3.3%,也低于前值3.6%;美国第三季度核心PCE物价指数年化季率初值为1.3%,低于预期值1.4%,也低于前值1.9%。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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