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德国IFO商业景气指数第三个月下滑

关键词:德国IFO商业景气指数第三个月下滑

德国周一(10月26日)公布的10月IFO商业景气指数好于预期,但差于前值,连续三个月来下滑。数据公布后,欧元兑美元冲高回落,短线下跌至1.1025一线附近。

具体数据显示,德国10月IFO商业景气指数为108.2,高于预期值107.8,但低于前值108.5。

同时公布的德国10月IFO商业现况指数为112.6,低于预期值113.5,也低于前值114;德国10月IFO商业预期指数为103.8,高于预期值102.4,高于前值103.3。

IFO商业景气指数基于大约7000家制造业、建筑业、批发销售和零售销售企业的月度调查数据,反映企业对当前商业景气状况和未来6个月预期景气状况的判断。如果数据向好则预示德国经济前景乐观,利好欧元;相反,如果IFO数据走低可能暗示经济放缓,利空欧元。

德国智库IFO称,9月的IFO数据没有修正。鉴于多重挑战,德国经济当前具有显著“弹性”。大众汽车丑闻并未对德国汽车行业造成影响。10月德国汽车业的商业景气正在改善。

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