美元低位挣扎 澳元创7周新高
关键词:美元低位挣扎 澳元创7周新高
受美联储(Fed)将在年底前升息疑虑影响,周一(10月12日)美元兑一篮子货币于3周低位徘徊。
美元指数盘中报94.78。该指数用来衡量美元兑一篮子六种主要货币的价值。上周五美元指数触及低点94.692,为自9月18日以来最低水平。
欧元/美元小涨0.1%,报1.1372,上周五创三周高位1.13875。美元/日元则持稳于120.21。
上周美元大幅回撤,尤其是兑商品货币和新兴市场货币。
相关的增长货币也反弹,因之前10月早些时候发布的美国疲软就业数据促使投资者将美联储将近十年的首次加息时间推迟至明年。
现在重点是商品货币和新兴市场货币能否被证明是因超跌而出现的短暂反弹,还是最终演变为更为持久的上升趋势。
一些分析师对这些货币在过去一周内反弹的强度表示吃惊。
三菱东京日联银行驻新加坡的分析师Teppei Ino称,“我个人认为反弹现在已经停止了。但或许这将会延续到各种产品恢复至8月11日的水平,如果这种情况出现了,澳元可能上升到0.74美元附近。
8月11日中国央行意外降息曾引发市场对中国经济健康和全球经济增长放缓的担忧,打压了澳元以及新兴亚洲货币。继上周飙升4%,创自2011年末以来最大单周涨幅之后,澳元/美元保持坚挺,小幅上涨0.1%,报0.7341点。周一澳元触及7周高位0.7347。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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