卡尼再次暗示或在年底
关键词：卡尼再次暗示或在年底
7月17日讯 ，英国央行行长卡尼周四（7月16日）表示，将利率从历史低位提升的决定将在今年底左右成为更加清晰的焦点，这是他对于英国央行加息时机的最强烈暗示。
卡尼谈及英国经济的强劲动能，并将今年初的放缓描述为“只是雷达上的一个小点”。
但是，他重申利率只会从0.5%的历史地位逐渐提升至比过去低的水平。
他还表示，英镑走强持续影响着英国通胀走弱，随着欧元区与英国的货币政策分化，这两者会特别相关。
上个月，英国的通胀率微跌至0%，远低于英国央行2%的通胀目标。
但是，卡尼表示，至今年底，不断增加的通胀上扬压力将会越来越明显，因国际油价下挫对通胀的拖累效应减弱，预计通胀在两年内会重返央行目标。
卡尼还表示，加息前景取决于能否拧紧经济中持续存在的松弛部位，要求经济每季度持续增长约0.6%左右。利率走势比具体的首次加息时机更加重要，经济冲击可能会影响加息时机和走势。
他还称，一旦正常化程序启动，预计会缓慢推进加息而且利率在中期内会升至历史均值约一半的水平。
卡尼还承认，较大的经常帐赤字等因素威胁英国经济增长前景。“鉴于这些因素，货币政策委员会不得不边走边观察。”
本周二，卡尼在英国国会财政委员会会议上作陈述时就表示，伴随经济复苏势头逐步增强，英国自金融危机以来的首次加息时间越来越近。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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