美联储官员或于本次FOMC决议给出加息暗示
关键字:美联储官员或于本次FOMC决议给出加息暗示
美联储官员周三结束政策会议后,可能仍将短期利率定在近零水平,不过他们可能会给出美联储不断接近加息时点的新暗示。美联储主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)本月早些时候在国会发表证词时强调,她预计美联储将在年底前的某个时间开始上调基准联邦基金利率。
耶伦的讲话以及美联储其他官员近期发表的公开言论已表明,7月加息为时过早。虽然美国经济在第一季度收缩后正温和增长,企业也在以稳健的步伐招兵买马,但通胀仍持续低于美联储2%的目标,美联储官员希望在加息前对通胀上升有更大把握。
这使得美联储在本周政策会议上面临一个释放信号的小难题。美联储官员应该在多大程度上透露今年晚些时候的加息时点问题?他们不想在没有预警的情况下启动2006年以来首次上调基准联邦基金利率的行为,让金融市场感到意外。同时,他们也希望保留自己的选择权,这样就可随着美国经济形势的发展调整立场。
美联储上次启动一系列加息时,官员们在行动前的一次会议上就做好了准备。当时他们摈弃了2004年5月的政策声明中有关美联储将耐心等待加息的措辞,表示将循序渐进地采取行动,结果他们在接下来的政策会议上上调了利率。
4月会议时,美联储官员讨论是否要像2004年那样,在启动加息前给予明确指示。但会议纪要显示他们选择了完全不同的方法。
会议纪要显示,大部分官员认为首次加息时间将逐次会议讨论确定,也就是说他们行动前可能不会释放正式信号。部分官员称,美联储对经济、前景和目标进展的描述可能提供关键线索。换言之,美联储表示取得了越多进展,那么距离加息就越近。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.