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高盛预计澳联储将降息25个基点

关键字:高盛预计澳联储将降息25个基点

高盛集团(Goldman Sachs)周二(5月5日)撰文提醒澳元投资者,澳联储预计将在午间降息25个基点。内容如下:

我们预计,澳洲联储将在本交易日公布的利率决议上降息25个基点,就和市场预期的一样。

澳联储在降息25个基点的同时,预计将在本周晚些时候下调澳大利亚经济增长预期。上周的一季度CPI数据已经体现了澳洲通胀的下行压力。大宗商品价格的下跌和澳元的走高都是原因之一。

澳联储主席史蒂文斯上周的讲话已经暗示了长期宽松对资产市场所产生的负面影响。因此,我们预计澳联储在这次降息后,将延后进一步降息的步伐。至少要在5月12日的预算案之后能看到财政状况的进一步改善,才会进一步降息。

但是,我们高度确信,澳联储在未来的几个月仍将进一步降息的,即便下一次行动的时间目前仍十分缺乏线索来判断。


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