9.9国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
关键字:9.9国际现货黄金价格走势分析(2014)
【行情回顾】
9月8日欧洲中盘时段,国际现货黄金价格承压于1267下方,短期获得1260的支撑,因市场继续消化乌俄两国停火协议带来的利空消息,金价失去避险需求支持后,日间走势较弱,纽盘开市后,因市场消息面平淡,金价呈现单边下跌格局,交投清淡促使金价下挫至纽盘中段的1251.19美元/盎司,日收1254.95美元/盎司,跌幅为1.09%。
【基本面分析】
根据花旗银行最新报告透露,8月全球黄金ETF的流出量为20吨,也就是说,相比7月流入的约15吨的流入量,现时全球黄金ETF为净流出约5吨,反映黄金基金持股市场以抛压占盘面主导,另外上周以来,全球黄金ETF价值跌破700亿美元,创今年6月以来的首次,同时也为今年第三季度中的最低水平。数据反映出投资者对黄金交易的热情降低,由于今年以来,金价面对太多的利空因素,致使金市多头积极性不断受挫,一定程度削弱了黄金的保值需求,在投资者追求风险性大的品种下,金价将难以打开上行空间。
关注美元兑一篮子货币的情况,周一时分美元指数突破近期的上升关口,创下一年来的新高。欧元区由于实行量化宽松措施使欧元受压,另外英镑因苏格兰即将独立公投而下挫,日元走势较弱,澳大利亚本日公布较差的经济数据也促使澳元兑美元下跌,美元走强而反过来推动伦敦金行情下行。
【技术分析】
从日线图上看,昨日K线收取较长的带上下影线的阴烛,反映空头主力仍能有效指导K线走势,本日亚市早盘开出的阳线正尝试突破1260前期较弱的点位,K线下方为布林下轨1250,附图指标MACD死叉进一步扩大,绿柱动能放量,从4小时图上看,5日和10日均线形成死叉后持续放量,金价短期内将面临5日均线1258的阻力。总体上看,本日1250将为关键支撑点位,若站稳1250,金价将延续区间运行格局。本日关键支撑位1242,1250,1255,关键阻力位1258,1262,1267。
【本日关键数据和事件】
美国8月NFIB小企业信心指数
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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