基本面不利金价 现货黄金再创新低
关键字：现货黄金走势分析
【行情回顾】
回顾昨日走势，国际现货黄金价格出现了较大幅度的波动，日内最大跌幅高达1%，金价再度跌至6周低位，也创下了年内最大月度跌幅。由于美国昨晚公布的就业数据再度好于市场预期，同时就业市场改善迹象显著的背景下，黄金的避险需求遭到大幅削弱。
【基本面分析】
美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，美国7月26日当周初请失业金人数增加，但四周均值降至逾八年最低，表明美国劳动力市场继续改善。具体数据显示，美国7月26日当周初请失业金人数升至30.2万，略高于预期的30.1万，前值下修为27.9万，初值28.4万。
金价在7月累计下挫3.5%左右，为年内最大的月度跌幅，因美联储仍在继续缩减购债规模，同时美国经济数据基调较佳，降低了黄金作为对冲工具的吸引力。美国第二季劳工成本创下逾五年半最大增幅，显示等候已久的薪资加速成长已经蓄势待发。金价因此受压。下个市场焦点是周五(8月1日)公布的美国7月非农就业报告，预料非农就业岗位将增加23.3个。若非农就业数据向好，黄金价格恐进一步承压。
【技术分析】
由近期的黄金走势上看，在金价近期出现连续下跌的情况下，周线四连阴几乎已经是板上钉钉的事情，而黄金日线四连阴也将黄金的弱势表露无遗。而在黄金基本出现破位走势的情况下，黄金多条均线出现死叉迹象，短期仍然未有明确的反弹信号，因此日内我们仍然建议投资者逢低做空。
日内支撑位：1280 1276 1271
日内压力位：1287 1292 1297
由于近期美国就业数据表现良好，导致市场频频预期美国的加息时点将会加快推进，因此在基本面上不利于黄金。而在技术面上，现货黄金近期持续下跌也出现破位迹象，因此我们建议投资者日内仍然以做空作为主要操作策略，介入位置1287，盈利目标1280，止损6美金。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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